Paulista B Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Nacional SP vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAC
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
ECN
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
SJS
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SJS
0 - 1
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ECN
2 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAC
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SJS
0 - 1
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ECN
0 - 1
UNI
27%
23%
50%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
ECN
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
SJS
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |