Nacional SP vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAU
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUD
1 - 0
NAC
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PAU
3 - 1
RIO
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 0
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 0
IND
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |