Nacional SP vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VOT
2 - 1
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAP
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 3
NAC
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 1
BAN
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 1
MAT
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 1
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
DES
5 - 2
MAT
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |