Paulista A3 Etapas finales. Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Nacional SP vs Linense CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 0
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
BAN
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
PRI
2 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 0
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 3
LIN
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 4
LIN
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |