Nacional PR vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 0
CAB
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
AEC
4 - 0
NPR
25%
20%
56%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAB
7 - 0
NPR
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
NPR
6 - 0
AAB
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 5
POR
15%
24%
61%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 4
MIR
17%
26%
58%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FER
5 - 1
TCW
72%
19%
9%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 3
CAS
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 0
TCW
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 2
CAB
27%
24%
50%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |