Nacional PR vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 2
GEM
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 0
APU
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
NPR
63%
22%
16%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 2
CAB
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TCW
2 - 3
NPR
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAB
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
POR
0 - 2
BAN
37%
28%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 0
CAS
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 1
BAN
69%
21%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 0
CAB
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |