Nacional vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 0
TAC
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CER
4 - 1
NAC
28%
28%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
LFC
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CSM
2 - 4
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 2
LFC
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CER
0 - 0
RIV
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 1
PEÑ
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 2
RIV
43%
24%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 0
TAC
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |