Clausura Uruguay . Final
Global 3-0
Nacional vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 3
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 3
JUN
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 0
PEÑ
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
FEN
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |