Nacional vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
BAN
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
FEN
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
BAN
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 3
NAC
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
SRP
0 - 0
CER
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CER
1 - 1
LFC
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
JUN
0 - 1
CER
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CER
0 - 4
PEÑ
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |