Nacional vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
REN
2 - 0
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 4
LFC
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 4
RIV
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 0
DAN
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
5 - 1
CEL
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 1
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
CEL
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |