Nacional vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
PLA
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 2
NAC
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
PRO
72%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 1
NAC
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 0
CSY
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
4 - 3
BOS
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 5
PEÑ
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
BOS
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 3
MWA
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |