Nacional EC MG vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
2 - 1
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
CRA
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 2
VOL
52%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
TUP
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
NEC
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
DEM
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |