Nacional de Patos vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
ICA
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
ICA
0 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
POT
1 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
POT
0 - 1
ICA
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
POT
3 - 0
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
POR
3 - 3
POT
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
ICA
0 - 0
POT
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
POT
1 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |