Paraibano Fase Final. Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Nacional de Patos vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
62.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
4 - 0
SPC
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
CAM
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SCL
1 - 5
NAC
11%
15%
74%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
CSP
4 - 2
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
TRE
34%
26%
39%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
BOT
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
ECS
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
7 - 0
ATL
78%
16%
6%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 1
BOT
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 3
BOT
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |