Nacional de Patos vs Atlético Cajazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
SPB
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
CSP
1 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
DPB
1 - 2
NAC
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
TRE
23%
25%
52%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Cajazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 2
BOT
14%
22%
64%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
AUT
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |