Nacional vs Sportivo Trinidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 3
RÑU
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
NAC
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
34%
25%
42%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
RPA
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
SPT
3 - 3
LQE
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RÑU
1 - 1
SPT
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 3
OLI
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OVE
1 - 2
SPT
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPT
1 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |