Nacional vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 4
OLI
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
LQE
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEL
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 0
AME
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
AME
3 - 0
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
DEP
3 - 2
AME
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
AME
2 - 0
LIB
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |