Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 3-3
Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 0
NAC
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 4
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 0
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
AME
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 0
NAC
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |