Nacional vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
LQE
2 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
OLI
23%
22%
55%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
5 - 0
SAP
94%
5%
1%
|
78 | 13 | 65 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
5 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
SPO
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |