Nacional vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
LQE
2 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
OLI
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |