Nacional vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 1
CER
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
NAC
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
CCP
1 - 4
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 2
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 4
RÑU
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
DEP
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
LQE
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 3
DEP
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |