Nacional vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 4
GUA
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 4
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
RÑU
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 3
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 1
CCP
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |