Nacional AM vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
IRA
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
HOL
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 2
NAC
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
TAR
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
CRB
2 - 1
FAS
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
FAS
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FAS
1 - 0
PRI
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 4
FAS
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
FAS
1 - 1
CRB
22%
23%
54%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |