Nacional de Muriae vs Tupynambás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Muriae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
DEM
2 - 0
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEM
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 0
NAC
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 0
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 0
DEM
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
DEM
1 - 0
TFC
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
TFC
41%
23%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 0
NAC
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |