Nacional AC MG vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
UBE
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
BET
2 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 2
AYM
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 1
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
BET
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
TUP
3 - 1
VEC
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
TUP
45%
27%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
TUP
1 - 2
COI
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BET
2 - 1
TUP
53%
23%
23%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
BOA
0 - 1
TUP
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |