Nacional AC MG vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
USC
0 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAM
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 2
NAC
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DEM
1 - 1
NAC
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
MAM
2 - 2
DEM
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DEM
2 - 1
USC
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
DEM
1 - 1
CAP
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
DEM
28%
26%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DEM
1 - 1
NAC
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |