Naçao Esportes vs Carlos Renaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
NES
3 - 1
GUA
42%
23%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 1
NES
30%
21%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
NES
2 - 1
CAC
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 0
NES
24%
20%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
NES
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carlos Renaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
CRA
3 - 3
CAC
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
TUB
1 - 1
CRA
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CRA
11 - 0
AOL
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
NES
0 - 0
CRA
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
CAI
64%
19%
18%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |