NAC Breda vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
FEY
2 - 0
NAC
80%
13%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FCV
0 - 6
NAC
7%
14%
79%
|
73 | 24 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 1
TWE
39%
26%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ADO
6 - 2
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 2
RBC
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 2
RKC
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 4
PSV
25%
24%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
UTR
0 - 3
WIL
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |