NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 1
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
RJC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
NAC
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
TWE
4 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
VOL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 2
TWE
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
RJC
0 - 1
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 0
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 2
AZA
21%
22%
56%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |