NAC Breda vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
73.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 1
ALK
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
HEL
0 - 0
NAC
17%
23%
61%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
FCD
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 1
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
BOS
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VVV
1 - 1
PSV
6%
14%
81%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 2
EUP
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 2
BRU
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PSV
4 - 1
ZWO
83%
13%
4%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
GVV
1 - 2
PSV
4%
11%
85%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |