NAC Breda vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 0
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SCH
0 - 2
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 0
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
PSV
1 - 3
BVB
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRA
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
PSV
0 - 4
ARS
40%
26%
35%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 3
PSV
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
AUX
0 - 0
PSV
43%
26%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |