NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
FEY
0 - 0
NAC
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 3
VIT
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 2
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GRO
2 - 2
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
SCH
4 - 0
NEC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
RKC
2 - 1
NEC
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 1
GRA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |