NAC Breda vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RJC
5 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRO
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 6
HER
22%
23%
56%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 2
SCH
40%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |