NAC Breda vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
TWE
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 1
NAC
22%
23%
56%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RJC
5 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
GRO
4 - 2
ADO
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RJC
2 - 1
GRO
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MLL
2 - 2
GRO
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GRO
5 - 1
ADO
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
ADO
5 - 1
GRO
40%
23%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -2 |