NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
6 - 1
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 1
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
VVV
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AZA
0 - 0
VVV
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
TWE
0 - 4
AZA
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 2
RJC
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
AZA
4 - 1
ZWO
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 2
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |