Eredivisie Round 2

NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis

NAC Breda Ajax
66 ELO 89
7.7% Tilt 19.7%
750º General ELO ranking 107º
25º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.9%
NAC Breda
20.8%
Draw
64.3%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
NAC Breda
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.3%
Win probability
Ajax
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NAC Breda
-5%
+3%
Ajax

ELO progression

NAC Breda
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2006
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
8 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
75%
16%
9%
67 84 17 0
16 Apr. 2006
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 6
PSV
PSV
16%
23%
61%
68 88 20 -1
12 Apr. 2006
HER
Heracles
4 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
47%
24%
28%
68 68 0 0
08 Apr. 2006
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
45%
26%
29%
68 72 4 0
04 Apr. 2006
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
3 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
75%
16%
9%
68 84 16 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2006
AJA
Ajax
0 - 2
Kobenhavn
FCK
64%
21%
15%
89 85 4 0
20 Aug. 2006
AJA
Ajax
5 - 0
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
74%
17%
10%
88 68 20 +1
13 Aug. 2006
PSV
PSV
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
36%
23%
41%
89 88 1 -1
09 Aug. 2006
FCK
Kobenhavn
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
29%
26%
45%
89 85 4 0
07 May. 2006
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
PSV
PSV
48%
25%
28%
89 89 0 0