NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
AZA
8 - 1
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 6
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
HER
4 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
NEC
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
AZA
3 - 2
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 2
FCK
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
AJA
5 - 0
RKC
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
FCK
1 - 2
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
48%
25%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |