Mwadui vs African Lyon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MBE
1 - 0
MWA
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TAN
0 - 0
MWA
48%
29%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 2
YOU
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MWA
2 - 2
SUN
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KAG
1 - 0
MWA
35%
31%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
African Lyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AFR
1 - 0
NDA
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MTI
1 - 0
AFR
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AFR
0 - 2
KAG
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AFR
0 - 0
TOT
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
AFR
3 - 1
MBA
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |