MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
MVV
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
MVV
1 - 3
FCO
43%
24%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
HFC
2 - 0
MVV
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2004 |
MVV
1 - 0
TEL
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
BOS
5 - 0
MVV
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
33%
25%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
APE
75%
16%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
VVV
4 - 2
EXC
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCE
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
20%
22%
57%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |