Eerste Divisie . Jor. 17

MVV Maastricht vs Jong AZ analysis

MVV Maastricht Jong AZ
57 ELO 60
7% Tilt 14.5%
1890º General ELO ranking 1755º
35º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
32.1%
MVV Maastricht
25.6%
Draw
42.3%
Jong AZ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
MVV Maastricht
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.3%
Win probability
Jong AZ
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
MVV Maastricht
+33%
-2%
Jong AZ

Points and table prediction

MVV Maastricht
Their league position
Jong AZ
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
17º
56
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Willem II
79
79
100%
Groningen
75
75
100%
Roda JC
75
75
100%
Dordrecht
69
69
100%
ADO Den Haag
63
63
0%
De Graafschap
63
63
0%
Emmen
57
57
100%
NAC Breda
56
56
0%
MVV Maastricht
56
56
100%
Jong AZ
10º
56
56
10º
0%
Helmond Sport
11º
51
51
11º
100%
VVV Venlo
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Cambuur
13º
47
47
13º
100%
FC Eindhoven
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Jong Ajax
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Jong PSV
16º
40
40
16º
100%
SC Telstar
17º
35
35
17º
100%
TOP Oss
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
MVV Maastricht
Jong AZ
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

MVV Maastricht
Jong AZ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MVV Maastricht
MVV Maastricht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 0
MVV Maastricht
MVV
61%
21%
18%
56 65 9 0
19 Nov. 2023
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 4
NAC Breda
NAC
21%
23%
56%
57 67 10 -1
10 Nov. 2023
FCO
TOP Oss
0 - 1
MVV Maastricht
MVV
29%
24%
48%
56 50 6 +1
06 Nov. 2023
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 1
Emmen
FCE
20%
24%
56%
56 69 13 0
02 Nov. 2023
BVO
Cambuur
4 - 1
MVV Maastricht
MVV
58%
21%
22%
57 64 7 -1

Matches

Jong AZ
Jong AZ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2023
ALK
Jong AZ
0 - 5
Groningen
GRO
41%
25%
34%
62 64 2 0
24 Nov. 2023
PSV
Jong PSV
1 - 2
Jong AZ
ALK
37%
25%
38%
62 58 4 0
10 Nov. 2023
ALK
Jong AZ
2 - 1
Helmond Sport
HEL
53%
24%
23%
61 58 3 +1
03 Nov. 2023
VVV
VVV Venlo
2 - 2
Jong AZ
ALK
46%
25%
29%
61 62 1 0
27 Oct. 2023
FCE
Emmen
2 - 1
Jong AZ
ALK
61%
22%
17%
61 70 9 0
X