MVV Maastricht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
TEL
4 - 0
MVV
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
MVV
2 - 1
TWE
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
EIN
1 - 0
MVV
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
MVV
2 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
MVV
2 - 3
NEC
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 1
LSO
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
6 - 3
NEC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
4 - 1
HER
78%
14%
9%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
6 - 0
FEY
58%
20%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |