Pref. Valenciana Group 4 Round 17

Mutxamel vs Novelda UCF analysis

Mutxamel Novelda UCF
17 ELO 19
-2.4% Tilt -5.6%
10622º General ELO ranking 44486º
721º Country ELO ranking 10465º
ELO win probability
42%
Mutxamel
23.8%
Draw
34.2%
Novelda UCF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
Mutxamel
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.2%
Win probability
Novelda UCF
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Mutxamel
Novelda UCF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mutxamel
Mutxamel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
UNI
Carrús UD Ilicitana
2 - 1
Mutxamel
MUT
42%
23%
35%
18 17 1 0
21 Jan. 2024
POL
Polop
4 - 4
Mutxamel
MUT
53%
22%
25%
18 19 1 0
13 Jan. 2024
MUT
Mutxamel
0 - 3
El Campello
CAM
40%
24%
36%
19 21 2 -1
16 Dec. 2023
BEN
Benferri
2 - 1
Mutxamel
MUT
38%
25%
38%
19 19 0 0
03 Dec. 2023
MUT
Mutxamel
0 - 1
UE Crevillent
UEC
38%
21%
41%
20 21 1 -1

Matches

Novelda UCF
Novelda UCF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
NUD
Novelda UCF
1 - 0
Novelda CF
NOV
53%
22%
25%
18 16 2 0
20 Jan. 2024
NUD
Novelda UCF
2 - 2
Atlético Catral
ATL
44%
24%
32%
19 19 0 -1
14 Jan. 2024
SPO
S. Fulgencio
0 - 1
Novelda UCF
NUD
37%
25%
37%
18 17 1 +1
16 Dec. 2023
NUD
Novelda UCF
1 - 2
Murada
MUR
30%
23%
47%
18 21 3 0
03 Dec. 2023
ALM
Almoradí
2 - 0
Novelda UCF
NUD
42%
24%
34%
19 18 1 -1