Copa Ecuador Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
MUS
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 1
ORE
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
BSC
4 - 1
MUS
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 1
MUS
8%
14%
79%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
MUS
24%
27%
49%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 1
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
4 - 1
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 2
IVT
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |