Mushuc Runa vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EME
6 - 1
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 4
OLM
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
TEC
3 - 0
MUS
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 1
UCE
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
FEN
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
LDU
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 0
NAC
37%
24%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
IVT
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |