Mushuc Runa vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MUS
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
3 - 2
IVT
27%
25%
49%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LDU
2 - 0
MUS
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 1
RIV
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
DEL
4 - 1
MUS
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 1
TEC
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
DEL
2 - 2
AUC
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AUC
4 - 1
LDU
62%
22%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
OLM
3 - 2
AUC
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ORE
2 - 2
AUC
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |