Mushuc Runa vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
OLM
2 - 1
MUS
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MUS
2 - 0
COL
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
SSR
1 - 1
MUS
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
COL
2 - 3
MUS
33%
30%
37%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 3
OLM
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 0
LDU
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SSR
1 - 1
AUC
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 1
SSR
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LDU
0 - 0
AUC
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 0
MUS
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |