Mushuc Runa vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 2
MUS
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 3
NAC
38%
29%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BSC
6 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 1
IVT
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 2
MUS
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 2
MUS
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 0
AUC
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 2
AUC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 0
CUE
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EME
2 - 0
AUC
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |