Murici vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 3
COR
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 1
CRB
15%
24%
62%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 3
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 2
CSA
24%
29%
47%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 1
IPA
60%
21%
18%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
SSS
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 0
IPA
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 3
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |