Alagoano Inicial Fase regular round 1

Murici vs CSE analysis

Murici CSE
40 ELO 44
-7.8% Tilt -7.1%
6500º General ELO ranking 4569º
277º Country ELO ranking 151º
ELO win probability
29.8%
Murici
25.2%
Draw
45.1%
CSE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
Murici
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45%
Win probability
CSE
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Murici
-11%
-16%
CSE

ELO progression

Murici
CSE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Murici
Murici
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2023
ASA
ASA Arapiraquense
1 - 0
Murici
MUR
61%
22%
17%
40 48 8 0
12 Mar. 2023
MUR
Murici
1 - 1
ASA Arapiraquense
ASA
25%
25%
50%
39 49 10 +1
26 Feb. 2023
MUR
Murici
1 - 2
CRB
CRB
7%
17%
76%
39 72 33 0
19 Feb. 2023
MUR
Murici
2 - 1
Coruripe
COR
44%
24%
32%
38 37 1 +1
02 Feb. 2023
CSE
CSE
1 - 1
Murici
MUR
57%
23%
20%
38 46 8 0

Matches

CSE
CSE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2023
CSE
CSE
1 - 0
CA Porto
POR
60%
23%
17%
45 37 8 0
26 Feb. 2023
AAL
Aliança AL
2 - 2
CSE
CSE
16%
19%
64%
45 28 17 0
10 Feb. 2023
CRB
CRB
3 - 0
CSE
CSE
83%
13%
4%
46 71 25 -1
02 Feb. 2023
CSE
CSE
1 - 1
Murici
MUR
57%
23%
20%
46 38 8 0
29 Jan. 2023
CSE
CSE
0 - 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
CAR
72%
17%
11%
46 20 26 0