Murense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CLL
3 - 1
MUR
68%
19%
14%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
POR
17%
22%
61%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 2
CFP
16%
25%
60%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 2
INT
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
MER
48%
25%
28%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MER
3 - 3
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
FLN
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MNC
2 - 1
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |