Murense vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
RLV
1 - 2
MUR
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
CEC
38%
26%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALL
1 - 1
MUR
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 4
PET
35%
23%
43%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
6 - 0
MUR
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
MNC
31%
23%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PDS
1 - 1
ATL
31%
26%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
SCD
35%
24%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CEX
1 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
CDG
36%
25%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |